Tesla’s stock has been on a downward trajectory since the beginning of 2025, following a decline in fourth-quarter deliveries and an overall slump in the electric vehicle manufacturer’s performance.
On Thursday, Tesla announced it had delivered 495,930 vehicles globally this quarter, falling short of analysts’ expectations of approximately 514,400 units.
The company’s projected deliveries for 2024 stand at 1.78 million, slightly below analysts’ estimates of 1.8 million.
This marks Tesla’s first year-over-year decline in deliveries, reflecting the impact of intensifying competition, fluctuating demand, and challenging global economic conditions.
As trading began on the first day of the year, Tesla’s stock dropped over 3% during early market hours.
Meanwhile, China’s BYD reported its global passenger car deliveries are expected to reach approximately 4.3 million units in 2024.
Of these, 2.5 million are projected to be hybrids, while the number of pure electric vehicles (EVs) is expected to total around 1.76 million. This number poses a significant challenge to Tesla’s market leadership.
Despite these setbacks, Tesla optimists see the dip as temporary.
Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives expressed confidence in Tesla’s ability to rebound, forecasting a 20-30% increase in deliveries for fiscal year 2025. In early 2025, Tesla will unveil a more affordable EV model to drive growth.
Ives also highlighted Tesla’s future growth drivers, including Full Self-Driving (FSD) software, the rollout of robotaxi testing, and new products like the Cybertruck, which he believes will push Tesla’s market capitalization beyond $2 trillion.
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