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Poll Results Show Only 7 Out of 10 Koreans Will Vote in Upcoming Election

Daniel Kim Views  

한동훈 국민의힘 비상대책위원장이 4일 여의도 당사에서 비대위 회의를 하고 있다 사진연합뉴스
[Photo= Yonhap News]

The upcoming general election on April 10th reflects a theme, judgment on the regime. Even though The People Power Party is ahead of the Democratic Party in party support, numerous voters feel the need to judge the Yoon Suk Yeol government in this general election. Also, about 7 out of 10 Koreans stated that they would surely vote in this general election.

On the 6th, Aju Business Daily commissioned Hangil Research, a public opinion research agency, and conducted a survey targeting 1,010 males and females aged 18 and over nationwide. Around 45.6% responded that the most important ideologies in the April general election are the rule of law, economic crisis, and the judgment of the Yoon Suk Yeol regime which is claimed by the Democratic Party and other opposition parties. About 37.3% responded that political generational change and judgment of Representative Lee Jae Myung should be dealt with as a priority which is advocated by the People Power Party.

The emergence of an alternative party to the hostile coexistence of the two major parties, which the so-called third area parties such as the Green Justice Party, the New Reform Party, and the Future Forward Party put forward, was only 6.8%. 5.9% selected other options, and 4.3% each for no opinion or no response.

The important ideologies by region showed a similar pattern to the supporting parties. In Busan, Ulsan, and Gyeongnam, 50.6% responded that cleaning up the activist circle is the most important ideology while 58.3% of voters in the Honam region selected regime judgment theory.

Also, by age, the main supporters of the People Power Party, those in their 60s (48.9%) and those over 70 (46.2%), answered that it is most necessary to clean up the activist circle. On the other hand, more than half of the respondents from teenagers to 40s chose regime judgment, and in the 50s, regime judgment (49.9%) greatly surpassed activist circle judgment (35.6%).

The highest support for the third area theory was Daegu and Gyeongbuk at 9.8%, followed by Chungcheong region at 8.1%, and Gangwon, Jeju region at 7.0%. By age, those over 70 (9.9%) were the highest. It is interpreted as high expectations for the third party in the traditional conservative support base.

이재명 대표가 6일 국회에서 열린 최고위원회의에서 발언하고 있다
 [Photo= Yonhap News]

Many respondents said they would exercise their right to vote in this general election. The number of respondents who answered ‘I will vote’ in the question asking about the intention to vote in the April general election was 74.8%.

The region with the highest proportion of respondents who decided to vote was Busan, Ulsan, and Gyeongnam at 79.2% while the lowest was Gangwon, and Jeju at 58.1%.

Respondents who gave a somewhat reserved answer with the moderate possibility to vote were 15%, and will decide whether to vote on the voting day were 7.6%. The proportion of those who answered considering not to vote was only 1.5% of all respondents.

Meanwhile, the sampling error of this poll is ±3.1 points at a 95% confidence level. It was conducted using a combination of 5.2% telephone interviews and 94.8% wireless automatic response (ARS) using a stratified random extraction method by gender, age, and region. The response rate is 3.5%. For more details, refer to the homepage of the Central Election Opinion Poll Review Committee.

자료한길리서치
[Data=Hangil Research]
Daniel Kim
content@viewusglobal.com

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